Join me, William W. Davis, for a free, one-hour webinar where I demonstrate how to model uncertainty by using the built-in, statistical functions inside Microsoft Excel® using a SPERT® spreadsheet, or one of the other free downloads available on this website.

The June 2024 webinar will explore how to create a probabilistic burn-up chart for agile team forecasting. You’re probably already familiar with the normal distribution, but if not, you’ll learn how to easily use Excel’s normal distribution functions to make probabilistic estimates without directly interacting with Excel’s complicated statistical functions!

Probabilistic burn-up charts are better than a regular burn-up chart that only shows one possible future outcome: the most likely outcome. Instead, a probabilistic burn-up chart shows various outcomes, some favorable and some unfavorable. Probabilistic burn-up charts better set stakeholder expectations because these charts show multiple, possible outcomes with different likelihoods of occurrence.

After attending, you’ll earn 1 PDU from the Project Management Institute and/or 1 SEU from the Scrum Alliance. A certificate of attendance is freely available upon request if you attend the live event.

Registration is required. There is no cost to attend the live event.

The June 2024 topic is: “How to Create and Use a Probabilistic Burn-up Chart Using Statistical PERT®“. In this webinar, you’ll learn how easily create a probabilistic burn-up chart for agile team forecasting using the freely available Statistical PERT® Normal Edition spreadsheet!

If you like this topic but can’t make the date, register anyway. I’ll offer you access to a recording of the live webinar for $9 (plus credit card processing fees) several days after the live event.

Download Statistical PERT® Normal Edition (a freely licensed Excel spreadsheet) before or after the webinar.

Questions we’ll tackle in the webinar:

  • What is a probabilistic burn-up chart?
  • Why would I want to use a probabilistic burn-up chart for my agile team?
  • What are some ways I can adjust my forecast?

Future 2024 webinars (tentative):

  • TBD

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Got an idea for a great webinar topic related to probabilistic estimation?  Contact me!