Join me, William W. Davis, for a free, one-hour webinar where I demonstrate how to model uncertainty by using the built-in, statistical functions inside Microsoft Excel® using a SPERT® spreadsheet, or one of the other free downloads available on this website.

The January 2024 webinar will explore how to use the normal probability distribution to model uncertainty. You’re probably already familiar with the normal distribution, but if not, you’ll learn how to easily use Excel’s normal distribution functions to make probabilistic estimates without directly interacting with Excel’s complicated statistical functions!

After attending, you’ll earn 1 PDU from the Project Management Institute and/or 1 SEU from the Scrum Alliance. A certificate of attendance is freely available upon request if you attend the live event.

Registration is required. There is no cost to attend the live event.

The January 2024 topic is: “How to Make Probabilistic Estimates Using Statistical PERT®“. In this webinar, you’ll learn how easily model uncertainty and select probabilistic estimates using the built-in functions of Microsoft Excel and the freely available Statistical PERT® Normal Edition spreadsheet!

If you like this topic but can’t make the date, register anyway. I’ll offer you access to a recording of the live webinar for $9 (plus credit card processing fees) several days after the live event.

Download Statistical PERT® Normal Edition (a freely licensed Excel spreadsheet) before or after the webinar.

Questions we’ll tackle in the webinar:

  • What is the normal probability distribution?
  • Why would I want to use the normal distribution to model my project’s uncertainties?
  • How do Microsoft’s NORM.DIST and NORM.INV functions work (and what makes them so hard to use?)
  • How does a Statistical PERT Normal Edition spreadsheet make using Excel’s formulas easy to use?

Future 2024 webinars (tentative):

  • TBD

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Got an idea for a great webinar topic related to probabilistic estimation?  Contact me!