My Mission

I developed Statistical PERT® to equip project managers, business analysts, team members and executives with a simple, freely available, stochastic estimation technique to create future projections.  Using Statistical PERT, everyone can be better aligned about the nature of future uncertainties, and decision-makers can make more informed decisions about both probable and improbable outcomes.

My Vision

I want everyone who needs to make important decisions about the future to know that Statistical PERT is easy to use and freely available. I want everyone to know when, and how, to use Statistical PERT to solve an estimation problem. I want everyone to be better aligned with each other about the uncertainties they jointly face. Finally, I want decision-makers to make better, more informed decisions that evaluate both probable and improbable future outcomes.

No one can faultlessly control future outcomes, but we can all make better decisions about what is likely – and unlikely – to occur in the future.

My Four Values

  1. Forecasting future outcomes is preferable to predicting them
  2. Stochastic estimates need only to be accurate enough to make a good decision
  3. Stochastic estimation does not have to be difficult, expensive, or inaccessible
  4. Stochastic estimation is better when it involves both the heart and the head