My Mission

To make estimating easy and useful.  That’s my mission.

I developed Statistical PERT® to equip project managers, Scrum teams, business analysts, agile coaches and executives with a simple, freely available, probabilistic estimation technique to create future projections and forecasts.  Using Statistical PERT, everyone can be better aligned about the nature of uncertainties, and decision-makers can make more informed decisions about both probable and improbable outcomes.

My Vision

Everyone can easily forecast anything.  That’s my vision.

I want everyone who needs to make important decisions about the future to know that Statistical PERT is easy to use and freely available. I want everyone to know when, and how, to use Statistical PERT to solve an estimation problem. I want everyone to be better aligned with each other about the uncertainties they jointly face. Finally, I want decision-makers to make better, more informed decisions that evaluate both probable and improbable future outcomes.

No one can faultlessly control future outcomes, but we can all make better decisions about what is likely – and unlikely – to occur in the future.

My Four Values

  1. Forecasting future outcomes is preferable to predicting them
  2. Estimates need only to be accurate enough to make a good decision
  3. Estimation does not have to be difficult, expensive, or inaccessible
  4. Estimation is better when it involves both the heart and the head